RunPaceLab

Running Training Guides

Long-form articles explaining the science and math behind running performance. Each guide traces its formulas to primary sources, shows the equations, and is honest about the limitations.

This is not a training advice site. These guides explain how performance formulas work and where they come from — not how you should structure your week.

AllPhysiologyRace StrategyPacingTraining Methodology
Physiology12 min read

VDOT Explained: Jack Daniels' Running Performance Formula

The derivation of VDOT, how it differs from VO2 max, and how to use it for race prediction and training pace zones.

Physiology11 min read

Heart Rate Zones Explained: Karvonen vs %HRmax vs LTHR

The three main HR zone methods compared — where they agree, where they diverge, and why your watch's zones may be wrong.

Race Strategy10 min read

How Accurate Is the Riegel Formula? Testing Against Real Race Data

An analysis of Riegel's T₂ = T₁ × (D₂/D₁)^1.06 — where it works, where it fails, and what the alternatives offer.

Pacing8 min read

Pace Conversion: min/km vs min/mile vs km/h — and Why GPS Lies

The math of pace units, the exact conversion factor, and why your GPS watch's pace reading always differs from your calculator.

Race Strategy9 min read

Splits Strategy: Even, Negative, and Positive — What the Data Shows

What elite marathon splits actually look like, what happens physiologically when you go out too fast, and how to plan your race.

Physiology8 min read

Calorie Burn in Running: METs, the ACSM Compendium, and Why Calculators Disagree

The MET-based calorie estimation method explained — what METs are, where the values come from, and the real accuracy limits.

Race Strategy9 min read

Boston Qualifier Strategy: Standards, Cutoffs, and the Buffer Math

The 2026/2027 BQ standards, the historical cutoff data, and how to calculate how much buffer you actually need.

Race Strategy12 min read

Race Prediction Formulas Compared: Riegel vs Cameron vs Vickers

Implementing four race prediction formulas and comparing their outputs — when each is most accurate and why they disagree.

Physiology11 min read

Lactate Threshold and Pace: The Science Behind Your Tempo Runs

What lactate threshold actually is, where it sits in the VDOT framework, and how to estimate it from race times.

Physiology10 min read

Estimating VO2 Max from a Race Result: The Daniels-Gilbert Derivation

The mathematics of deriving VO2 max from race performance — the equations, the assumptions, and the accuracy limits.

More guides are being added. The target is 25 guides covering the full set of running performance formulas. Suggestions welcome at udbstudios@gmail.com.